Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000179 0.000223 0.000280
2024-11-03 0.000062 0.000082 0.000107 0.000141 0.000185 0.000241 0.000317
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000143 0.000196 0.000267 0.000367
2024-11-17 0.000049 0.000071 0.000100 0.000142 0.000203 0.000286 0.000408
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000210 0.000307 0.000455
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000092 0.000141 0.000215 0.000324 0.000497
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000220 0.000341 0.000540
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000226 0.000361 0.000587
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000233 0.000381 0.000638
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000140 0.000239 0.000402 0.000691
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000243 0.000420 0.000742
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000077 0.000139 0.000251 0.000444 0.000805
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000140 0.000259 0.000470 0.000875
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000138 0.000261 0.000486 0.000928
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000072 0.000141 0.000273 0.000519 0.001015
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000070 0.000139 0.000277 0.000539 0.001078
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000140 0.000284 0.000565 0.001156
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000138 0.000287 0.000583 0.001219
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000065 0.000137 0.000291 0.000602 0.001287
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000063 0.000137 0.000296 0.000626 0.001365
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000137 0.000303 0.000652 0.001451